In mid-October, the ICCO’s Director of Economics and Statistics Mr. Laurent Pipitone took part in a series of conferences across Peru aimed at raising awareness about opportunities in the international market for fine or flavour cocoa.

Peru’s cocoa production has doubled in the past five years to over 80,000 tonnes in the 2014/2015 season, and the country’s output is expected to continue to surge in the coming years. However, while the country has traditionally been a large fine or flavour cocoa producer, most of the recent increase was the result of new plantations of conventional cocoa. This development has led to the need to review and discuss with the various local stakeholders the country’s cocoa strategy in terms of market opportunities and profitability, in the short and long terms.

Pictured: The ICCO’s Laurent Pipitone makes a presentation in Lima (above); The Peru Cocoa Alliance Conference at Pucallpa, Ucayali (below); Peru Cocoa Alliance Director Jose Iturrios Padilla and his team with Jose Isuiza and Laurent Pipitone (bottom)

The series of conferences, entitled ‘New tendencies on the international cocoa market: opportunities for Peru as a fine flavour cocoa producer’ was organized by the Peru Cocoa Alliance, an initiative supporting Peruvian cocoa growers, supported by USAID. The conferences aimed to inform Peruvian policymakers, cocoa growers, investors and international cooperation representatives about global cocoa market developments and to demonstrate the opportunities for Peru to produce fine or flavour cocoa for specialized international markets.

Over a period of four days, Mr. Pipitone visited a number of different areas of the country. The first stop was Pucallpa, Ucayali, where he saw the fine or flavour cocoa fields using agroforestry systems in San Martin de Mojaral, Campos Verdes. Mr. Pipitone and the Alliance’s Director Mr. José Iturrios interviewed field owner, Mr. José Isuiza, who explained why he decided to invest in fine or flavour cocoa with the Peru Cocoa Alliance team.

After a press conference with 35 journalists, Mr. Pipitone participated in a conference at Ucayali River Hotel, with Regional Governor, Mr. Manuel Gambini and regional government representatives in attendance. After the conference, at a lunch with investors, Mr. Pipitone met representatives of regional authorities, cocoa organizations and cooperatives.

At Tarapoto, San Martin, after another press conference, Mr. Pipitone made a presentation at a conference at San Martin National University Auditorium, along with regional authorities, representatives of DEVIDA (the National Commission for Legal Affairs and Alternative Development) and owners of local chocolate companies, who participated as panelists. At the lunch that followed, representatives of regional authorities, cocoa organizations and cooperatives were introduced to Mr. Pipitone. The Alliance then invited him on a tour of Tropical Crops Institute (ICT), where they presented their research on cocoa.

In the capital, Lima, following press interviews with the national media, Mr. Pipitone took part in a conference bringing together national authorities, investors, traders and a range of stakeholders, before more interviews and a farewell reception.

On his last day in Peru, Mr. Pipitone met USAID Mission Director Mr. Lawrence Rubey at the US Embassy and afterwards made a presentation to the Alternative Development Office team, attended by the Peru Cocoa Alliance. Mr. Pipitone also had a meeting with Ms. Carmen Rosa Chavez, Director of Agricultural Business at the Peruvian Ministry of Agriculture.

In total, during the week, 580 producers, investors, students and regional government representatives participated in the conference in Pucallpa, 187 in Tarapoto and some 292 in Lima, in addition to 55 press impressions made in all three places.

London, 27 November 2015–The International Cocoa Organization today released its revised estimates, summarized below, of world production, grindings and stocks of cocoa beans for the 2014/2015 cocoa year. The data published in Issue No. 4 – Volume XLI – Cocoa year 2014/2015 of the Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, reflect the most recent information available to the Secretariat as at the beginning of November 2015.

Summary of revised estimates

 

Cocoa year
(Oct-Sep)
2013/2014 2014/2015 Year-on-year change
Revised
estimates
Previous
estimates a/
Revised
estimates
(thousand tonnes) (Per cent)
World production 4 372
4 158 4 201
– 171 – 3.9%
World grindings 4 322
4 131 4 123
– 199 – 4.6%
Surplus/deficit b/        6  – 15     36
End-of-season stocks 1 565
1 601 1 601 + 36 + 2.3%
Stocks/Grindings ratio 36.2% 38.8% 38.8%

Notes:
a/   Estimates published in Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, Vol. XLI – No. 3 – Cocoa year 2014/2015
b/   Surplus/deficit: net world crop (gross crop adjusted for loss in weight) minus grindings
Totals may differ due to rounding.

This issue of the Bulletin contains the Secretariat’s revised estimates for the 2014/2015 cocoa year as well as data for the past four years of production and grindings of cocoa beans, detailed by country. The main features of the global cocoa market are illustrated in colour charts. In addition, the Bulletin includes comments on the crop and demand situation in the leading countries, and a review of price developments on international markets for cocoa beans during the 2014/2015 cocoa year.

Statistical information on trade in cocoa beans, cocoa products and chocolate, by country and by region, published in this edition, covers annual data from 2011/2012 to 2013/2014 and quarterly statistics for the period July-September 2013 to January-March 2015. Details of destination of exports and origin of imports for leading cocoa exporting countries are also provided. Historical statistics on cocoa trade and consumption, by country and by region, for the period 2005/2006 to 2013/2014 are presented for reference.

Copies of the Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, including Microsoft Excel files and Adobe PDF format, can be ordered by completing and returning this form, or from the ICCO Secretariat at the address below:

International Cocoa Organization
Westgate House
Ealing
London W5 1YY
United Kingdom

Tel:             +44 (0)20 8991 6000
Fax:            +44 (0)20 8997 4372
E-mail:        registry@icco.org or info@icco.org

cocoa-futures-seminar-bali-2015-IMG_2827Participants from all over the region and beyond attended the third in the series of ICCO seminars on the cocoa futures market and economic modelling of the cocoa futures market, held in Bali, Indonesia in August.

The programme, designed for cocoa producing regions, has already had success reaching Latin American stakeholders (in Guayaquil, Ecuador in July 2013) as well as participants in West Africa (in Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire in February 2014).

Generously supported by the Indonesian Ministry of Trade, the seminar was opened Mr. Dedi Junaedi, Director of International Marketing at the Ministry of Agriculture, and heard first from ICCO Executive Director Dr. Jean-Marc Anga, who stressed the importance of stakeholders gaining an understanding of the futures market and strengthening their capacity to adequately anticipate supply, demand and price trends in cocoa. Mr. Deny Kurnia, Director of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation and Other International Organization Cooperation at the Ministry of Trade officially opened the seminar.

The Bali seminar included two modules, with the first concentrating on the cocoa futures markets and the second reviewing econometric modelling of the world cocoa market. The futures market module was delivered by the ICCO’s Senior Econometrician Dr. Michele Nardella (pictured above) and by Mr. John Fry, Training Delivery Manager at ICE Education Ltd (part of ICE Futures Europe). It covered risks within the cocoa supply chain, futures contracts and exchanges, hedging strategies and case studies, and aimed to make sure that attendees understood the market risks within a cocoa supply chain, the counterparties’ contractual obligations in a physical contract, forward contract and futures contract, and also were able to assess the size, side and timing of a cocoa stakeholder’s exposure to risk.

Mr. Laurent Pipitone, Director of the ICCO’s Economics and Statistics Division, along with Dr. Nardella, delivered the second module, on econometric modelling of the world cocoa market. Cocoa market fundamentals, the qualitative and quantitative modelling approaches, the model’s parameters estimator, stylized facts about the world cocoa market, econometric specification, estimation and simulation, were covered by the module. At the end of the module, attendees were expected to be able to assess the current market, translate stylized facts into a quantitative expression, estimate the equation’s unknown parameters using software, build an economic model of the world cocoa market from those estimated quantitative relationships and to simulate the impact of changes in the macroeconomic environment of the world cocoa market.

In his concluding remarks, after the four-day seminar, Mr. Pipitone thanked the Government of Indonesia for its strong support of the seminar both before and during the event. Mr. Ery Novrizac Yunas, on behalf of his Director Mr. Kurnia, praised the ICCO Secretariat’s work in successfully implementing the capacity building programme in the Southeast Asian region.

Feedback from the 70 attendees was broadly positive and participants found the seminar helpful and pertinent.

Over 70 participants from all over the West African region attended the ICCO’s International Seminar on the Development, Implementation and Evaluation of Cocoa Projects, held in Accra, Ghana in June.

The seminar, kindly sponsored by the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) and the Ghana Cocoa Board, aimed to enhance the capacity and skills of relevant officials and other stakeholders involved in the development of the cocoa sector to prepare for and implement cocoa projects.

Opened by the Chief Executive of the Ghana Cocoa Board, Dr. Stephen Opuni (pictured above, second from left), Mr. Yusuf Daya of Afreximbank (above right) and ICCO Executive Director Dr. Jean-Marc Anga (above, second from right), the seminar included presentations from Mr. Yunusa Abubakar and Mr. Moises Gomez of the ICCO, Mr. Ebenezer Tei-Quartey of the Ghana Cocoa Board, Dr Coffi Noumon of the African Capacity Building Foundation (at left above), Ms. Teresa Widmer of Swisscontact and Mr. Daya.

 

accra-seminar-2015-IMG_2035-v2

 

Over its four days, the seminar covered project identification, project preparation and analysis, prject appraisal and review, project implementation and management, project evaluation and impact analysis, and project management software.

The seminar assessment forms completed by all the participants showed that generally they found the training to have been useful and pertinent in enhancing their knowledge of project management.

At the end of the sessions, Mr. Abubakar presented seminar certificates to all the participants, and thanked the Government of Ghana, the Ghana Cocoa Board and Afreximbank for its support. Dr. F.K. Oppong, Deputy Chief Executive of the Ghana Cocoa Board, then officially closed the proceedings by encouraging all participants to apply the knowledge that they had gained at the seminar to further develop the cocoa sectors of their respective countries.

Over 70 participants from all over the West African region attended the ICCO’s International Seminar on the Development, Implementation and Evaluation of Cocoa Projects, held in Accra, Ghana in June.

The seminar, kindly sponsored by the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) and the Ghana Cocoa Board, aimed to enhance the capacity and skills of relevant officials and other stakeholders involved in the development of the cocoa sector to prepare for and implement cocoa projects.

Opened by the Chief Executive of the Ghana Cocoa Board, Dr. Stephen Opuni (pictured above, second from left), Mr. Yusuf Daya of Afreximbank (above right) and ICCO Executive Director Dr. Jean-Marc Anga (above, second from right), the seminar included presentations from Mr. Yunusa Abubakar and Mr. Moises Gomez of the ICCO, Mr. Ebenezer Tei-Quartey of the Ghana Cocoa Board, Dr Coffi Noumon of the African Capacity Building Foundation (at left above), Ms. Teresa Widmer of Swisscontact and Mr. Daya.

Over its four days, the seminar covered project identification, project preparation and analysis, prject appraisal and review, project implementation and management, project evaluation and impact analysis, and project management software.

The seminar assessment forms completed by all the participants showed that generally they found the training to have been useful and pertinent in enhancing their knowledge of project management.

At the end of the sessions, Mr. Abubakar presented seminar certificates to all the participants, and thanked the Government of Ghana, the Ghana Cocoa Board and Afreximbank for its support. Dr. F.K. Oppong, Deputy Chief Executive of the Ghana Cocoa Board, then officially closed the proceedings by encouraging all participants to apply the knowledge that they had gained at the seminar to further develop the cocoa sectors of their respective countries.